OPINION DYNAMICS & POLARIZATION

Why does the same crowd sometimes reach consensus and sometimes shatter into camps that no longer speak? The Deffuant model imposes a single condition: two people who meet move closer only if their views differ by less than a confidence threshold; anything further apart is simply tuned out. A wide threshold around 0.4 draws everyone to one point; drop it to 0.15 and two poles separate; drop it to 0.12 and the crowd crumbles into small self-affirming clusters. A handful of people who never change their minds is enough to pin the poles apart even when the majority stays open.

▸ Each agent holds an opinion (0–1)…
▸ Meeting someone close (within threshold) → move together
▸ Wide threshold → consensus; narrow → polarization
▸ Echo chambers & zealots…
▸ Online. ✅
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⌂ Complex systems

Simulation room Opinion dynamics & polarization

Opinion Dynamics
Online
🗳️ consensus ↔ polarization
Now showing
🗳️ Kết cục
Confidence threshold—
Clusters—
Spread—
Scenario—
Society
—
Drag the Confidence threshold to see the shift from consensus to polarization · pick a scenario (echo chamber, zealots…)
Opinion spread over timespread
About Opinion Dynamics

Why does the same crowd sometimes reach consensus and sometimes shatter into camps that no longer speak? The Deffuant model imposes a single condition: two people who meet move closer only if their views differ by less than a confidence threshold; anything further apart is simply tuned out. A wide threshold around 0.4 draws everyone to one point; drop it to 0.15 and two poles separate; drop it to 0.12 and the crowd crumbles into small self-affirming clusters. A handful of people who never change their minds is enough to pin the poles apart even when the majority stays open.

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