THE FERMI PARADOX

Over lunch at Los Alamos in 1950 Enrico Fermi blurted out "where is everybody?", and the question is still hanging. The Drake equation multiplies seven factors; the first few are now measured reasonably well thanks to the exoplanet harvest, while the odds of life arising, the odds of intelligence and the lifetime of a civilisation have exactly one data point, ourselves. Rare Earth, the Great Filter, the zoo hypothesis and the idea that we simply arrived early are speculations of equal standing. The one hard fact is that the sky stays silent.

▸ Counting stars in the Milky Way…
▸ Applying the Drake equation: N = R⋆·f_p·n_e·f_l·f_i·f_c·L
▸ "So where is everybody?" — Enrico Fermi
▸ Loading competing hypotheses (an open question)…
▸ Online. ✅
0%
⌂ Frontiers of knowledge

Simulation room The Fermi paradox

Fermi Paradox
Online
🛸 ? open question
Now showing
🛸 N civilizations
N estimate—
Civilization fraction—
Hypothesis—
⚠️ Frontier of knowledge
—
Drag the Drake assumption (pessimistic ↔ optimistic) to see N civilizations change · pick a hypothesis on the right to read
Number of 'living' civilizations over time (birth–death)living
About Fermi Paradox

Over lunch at Los Alamos in 1950 Enrico Fermi blurted out "where is everybody?", and the question is still hanging. The Drake equation multiplies seven factors; the first few are now measured reasonably well thanks to the exoplanet harvest, while the odds of life arising, the odds of intelligence and the lifetime of a civilisation have exactly one data point, ourselves. Rare Earth, the Great Filter, the zoo hypothesis and the idea that we simply arrived early are speculations of equal standing. The one hard fact is that the sky stays silent.

Related topics in Frontiers of Knowledge